According to a new poll released on Tuesday, as Republican Glenn Youngkin was one point away from Democrat Terry McAuliffe at the end of the summer, the Virginia governor’s campaign is now Has reached a deadlock.
Investigation 1,074 possible voters, A survey conducted by the Republican polling company Trafalgar Group over the weekend showed that 46.6% of people support McAuliffe and 46.3% of people support Youngkin. The results are completely within the margin of error. Poll expert Robert Cahaly called it a “virtual tie.”
At the same time, 5% of voters stated that they had not made a decision before the November 2 election, while only 2.1% planned to vote for a third-party candidate.
The Trafalgar poll shows that compared with other recent surveys, the competition is much fiercer, and McAuliffe’s lead is even better.The former governor currently leads Youngkin by 5.2 percentage points RealClearPolitics vote average.
The two candidates are competing to replace the limited-term Democratic governor Ralph Northam, but the campaign is also closely watched across the country as an early window to understand what the midterm elections might bring next year.
Historically, campaigns tend to support candidates whose parties have lost power in the White House. Northam defeated the Republican Ed Gillespie to win the governorship in 2017 because the country is about to compete with President Trump. But Republicans won the governor’s residence in 1993, the first year of the Democratic Bill Clinton’s presidency, and in 2009, Barack Obama’s first year, they won the governor’s residence again easily.
To capitalize on these trends, the Republican National Committee made significant early investments in the game.As politics First reportAt the beginning of this month, party leaders cut millions of dollars in checks to send more than 100 field workers to boost Youngkin.
In states that have become significantly bluer in the past few cycles, Youngkin faces the challenge of revitalizing the Republican ground game. Donald Trump lost to Hillary Clinton by 6 points in 2016, and lost to Joe Biden by 10 points in 2020. The Democrats control two seats in the Senate, 7 of the 11 seats in the House of Representatives, and hold a majority of seats in both houses of the state legislature.
His campaign team also hopes that national wind energy will continue to be beneficial to him and not to President Biden, but the former private equity executive is not in a hurry to nationalize the campaign. At the same time, McAuliffe, who served as governor from 2013 to 2017, is very eager to connect his opponent with Trump.
Early predictors quickly marked the game as a barometer of the lingering legacy of the 45th century.day President. However, as the president suffers a series of crises, this campaign may ultimately be more of a test of Biden and his policies. His approval rating dropped below 50% This is the first time during his presidency.